COMMENT OF THE DAY: FLOOD MATH “Or, to put it another way, if there’s a 1% chance that a storm of that magnitude will occur in a given year, there’s a 99% chance that it will not occur. Also a 99% chance that it will not occur next year, etc. Which means there’s a better than 50% chance that a “100 year flood event†will occur sometime in the next 69 years. (log .5 / log .99 is approx. 69; 0.99 raised to the 69th power is just under 0.5) 500-Year = 0.2% Chance Storm Event = 50% probability within 346 years. 100-Year = 1% Chance Storm Event = 50% probability within 69 years. 50-year = 2% Chance Storm Event = 50% probability within 34 years. 10-Year = 10% Chance Storm Event = 50% probability within 7 years.” [GoogleMaster, commenting on Comment of the Day: I-10 and Bunker Hill Paving Report]
Sign up for the Newsletter
yes! they use this math for launching satellite constellations and figuring how many to pile on to one rocket.
Speaking of flooding events, I noticed today they (TPTB) are digging out the retention ponds at I-10 and BW8.
If this is just routine maintenance or they are digging them deeper, I have no idea.
Anyone? Bueller?
miss_msry, maybe they are just trying to recover the rest of the Hux Club chips. Oh wait, that was the CSI episode I just watched online.